Continuous Variable Regression Analysis for Frequency of Damage Analysis in Heat Pipe

Myeongsik Kong; Jaemo Kang; Sungyeol Lee

doi:10.14481/jkges.2023.24.12.47

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2023 Vol.24, Issue 12 Preview Page Next Page

Continuous Variable Regression Analysis for Frequency of Damage Analysis in Heat Pipe 연속형 변수 회귀분석을 통한 열수송관 파손빈도 분석

1 December 2023. pp. 47-52

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Abstract

In order to efficiently maintain heat pipes operated by district heating operators, the facility history and damage history data built by the operator are used to identify key independent variables that are related to the occurrence of damage. Afterwards, the correlation with the frequency of damage was analyzed, and a basic model for estimating the frequency of damage was derived. Considering the correlation with the estimation model based on the use time currently being used by domestic and foreign district heating operators, a simple regression analysis basic model was presented as the independent variable with the highest correlation between continuous variables such as the use time, pipe diameter, burial depth, and insulation level of monitoring system, and the frequency of damage. The remaining independent variables were reflected as factors that modify and supplement the basic model. As a result of the analysis, as in previous research cases, it was confirmed that the analysis model between use time and frequency of damage had the highest correlation between the two variables and could be used as a basic model. Pipe diameter, burial depth, and insulation level of monitoring system information have also been confirmed to have a correlation with the frequency of damage, so they can be used as factors to supplement the basic model.

Keywords

Heat pipe

Frequency of damage

Continuous variable

Use time

Pipe diameter

Burial depth

Insulation level

지역난방사업자가 운영하는 열수송관의 효율적인 유지관리를 위해 사업자가 구축한 설비이력 및 파손이력 데이터를 활용하여 파손발생과 연관성을 가지는 주요 독립변수를 확인한 후, 파손빈도와의 상관관계를 분석하고, 파손빈도 추정을 위한 기본모델을 도출하였다. 국내외 지역난방사업자가 기존에 활용 중인 사용기간 기반의 추정 모델과의 연관성을 고려하여 사용기간 뿐만 아니라 관경, 매설깊이, 감시시스템 절연레벨 등 연속형 변수와 파손빈도의 상관성이 가장 높은 독립변수로 단순회귀분석 기본모델을 제시하였으며, 나머지 독립변수는 기본모델을 수정, 보완하는 인자로 반영하였다. 분석 결과 기존 연구사례와 마찬가지로 사용기간과 파손빈도간 분석 모델의 적합성과 두 변수간 상관성이 가장 높은 것으로 확인되어 기본모델로 활용 가능하다. 관경, 매설깊이, 감시시스템 절연레벨 정보 역시 파손빈도와의 상관성이 확인되어 기본모델을 보완하기 위한 인자로 활용 가능하다.

키워드

열수송관

파손빈도

연속형 변수

사용기간

관경

매설깊이

감시시스템 절연레벨

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Information

Publisher :Korean Geo-Environmental Society
Publisher(Ko) :한국지반환경공학회
Journal Title :Journal of the Korean Geo-Environmental Society
Journal Title(Ko) :한국지반환경공학회 논문집
Volume : 24
No :12
Pages :47-52
Received Date : 2023-11-13
Revised Date : 2023-11-13
Accepted Date : 2023-11-24
DOI :https://doi.org/10.14481/jkges.2023.24.12.47

Journal of the Korean Geo-Environmental Society ISSN:1598-0820(Print) 2714-1233(Online) 한국지반환경공학회 논문집

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